New Old Challenges for Transit Agencies

Metro Magazine’s annual Bus Maintenance Survey published in the Metro Magazine, May 2012 edition indicates parts availability and obsolescence to be the number one concern for maintenance personnel in Bus Maintenance workshops.

Metro’s survey was based on the questionnaire sent to 200 transit agencies with a list of questions ranging from biggest challenges and most frequent issues they meet in the shops to training and new ways to perform services.

One of the respondents noted that “Consistent parts availability and obsolescence avoidance is an ongoing concern being addressed through product testing and alternatives, working closely with manufacturers and vendors” Another one explained that it is really hard for them to determine the spare parts ratio because of the different lead times for different types of buses. He mentioned that many of their older buses require local fabrication shops to make parts for them, as they are no longer available from manufacturers or vendors.

This approach makes it almost impossible to predict the life cycle of bus parts to be able to plan preventive/predictive spare parts replacement and significantly increases the total cost of ownership for older buses. Consequently, it increases the number of road calls because of the increased number of external service failures.

The survey also indicates that workshop managers are facing a challenge arising from transit agencies’ strategy of transferring to cleaner burning engines with new, alternative propulsion systems.

This requires significant changes in repair procedures and knowledge management. More versatile fleet requires better planning and generally increases the cost of maintenance because of the new, specialized equipment needed and more complex organization of work in all segments from procurement of spare parts to the actual repair work by mechanics.

This survey has shown the need for better long term planning of capital investments in transit agencies. What is the cut-off age of the fleet when the total cost of ownership over the remaining life cycle of a bus becomes higher than selling the vehicle and investing in a new one? What are the costs of the more complex organization and smaller spare part batches ordered because of the more versatile fleet and how fast do we want to homogenize the fleet to reduce the related costs?

These are the types of questions management of transit agencies will have to answer to successfully overcome the challenges they are facing today.

DMAIC and Corporate Social Responsibility Initiatives

ASQ’s Quality Progress magazine for May 2012 features an article titled “On the right course” which discusses the use of DMAIC road-map for implementing Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) initiatives in organizations. In this case DMAIC is applied as a high level tool used by organizations to lead their decision making process in CSR implementation. DMAIC (Define-Measure-Analyze-Improve-Control) is a proven project management tool used by six sigma practitioners on a project level for measurable processes, but the main question in case of CSR is “What to measure”. Sounds familiar?

Authors of the article have pointed out that: “More organizations have become actively engaged in social initiatives, and many are proud to promote their activities and accomplishments in annual corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports”.

In all of these, usually called, “sustainability reports” companies present their achievements on a corporate level measured by company-wide KPIs. In these reports, CSR is presented in multiple categories such as: Environmental Management, GHG Emissions, Energy Consumption, Water Consumption, Recycling, Social Impact and Diversity. The biggest issue in implementing CSR initiatives in organizations is how to deploy the strategic CSR goals on the operational level.

In the case of implementing Corporate Social Responsibility initiatives, a wider continuous improvement framework is necessary to make these changes sustainable.

“A big ship traveling at full speed requires distance and time to turn around”. (Deming)

Calyptus Consulting has helped multiple clients in several industries (Mining, Manufacturing, Financial Services) in aligning their strategic goals and implementing a sustainable continuous improvement framework using its Policy Deployment procedure. Using this procedure we have been able to analyze and develop/redesign clients’ KPIs (Including CSR) and help them deploy their strategic objectives to the operational level. KPIs have been deployed horizontally and vertically encompassing multiple organizational tiers (depending on a client size and structure) and a reporting system has been implemented to roll up the KPIs from the operational level to the system wide KPIs.

The main goal of this approach is to align company objectives from the bottom all the way to the company vision and mission and empower the organization with sustainable system able to self-direct its initiatives across the organization to fulfill strategic objectives and stay “on the right course” as the title of the article implies.

Does Delta know more than the oil specialists?

By acquiring the oil refining facility from ConocoPhillips, Delta is replacing its fuel hedging strategy with backward integration but at the same time entering a particularly challenging market.

Oil RigThe refining business once was dominated by integrated oil companies, which both produced the oil and refined and sold the final product. But as refining and marketing became less profitable than production of crude oil, some big oil companies began spinning off and selling or shutting down refineries.

In 2011, Delta spent $11.7 billion on fuel, which accounted to 36% of its operating costs. In 2010 fuel accounted for 30% of Delta’s expenses. In a written statement, Richard Anderson, Delta Chief Executive said: “This modest investment, the equivalent of the list price of a new wide-body aircraft, will allow Delta to reduce its fuel expense by $300 million annually and ensure jet fuel availability in the Northeast.”

Since the amount of Jet fuel produced in this refinery is not large enough to cover its needs, Delta will exchange gasoline and other refined products from the complex for jet fuel from Phillips 66 and BP through multi-year agreements.

Two questions come to mind after reading all that has been said recently about Delta’s new business adventure.

  • Is the profit margin of a crude oil producer so much higher than the margin of an airline that a refinery can be interesting to an airline while the oil company wants to shut it down? If this is true what can we conclude about the price structure of crude oil?
  • Is there a synergetic value between a jet fuel producer and an airline company like Delta?

I must say that I don’t see it. I do not see how a specialized company with years of experience in the industry can be less profitable than a newbie. Can Delta utilize some of their underutilized assets or increase the efficiency of the supply chain to decrease the overall expenses of Jet Fuel production? Even if it does reduce the costs of refinement, Delta still has only a part of the Jet fuel production value chain under control. Volatility of crude oil price is still a significant factor that is out of their control since the refinement process only accounts for 12-18 percent of the Jet Fuel price. The focus should be on the total costs of ownership and the level of fuel supply control.

On the other hand investors seem to support Delta’s decision – the company’s shares went up by 10% since the rumor about the acquisition of the refinery started to spread.

I guess we will soon find out if this was the right decision but I am sure that other airline companies are very interested to see the outcome of this venture.

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